Ralph Grabowski shares some comments on the Future of CAD he gave to a user group. Good stuff. I want to pull out a few for us GIS people to consider:
1 - “To better understand what might happen in the future, it is important to know the past. This helps us decode what is happening, and what is likely to happen next, based on common human reactions. For example, if a software vendor switches from selling to the masses to selling vertically or repackaging the product as an API, we know the product is probably failing. Same if the price goes from $199 to $99 to $49 to free.”
We’ve got some of this - with Google, Microsoft, DeLorme moving from end user to professional tools. We don’t alas have so much of the price dropping….yet.
2 - “The Internet made CAD vendors rethink themselves, because the Internet allowed the switch from drawings on paper to drawings as data (DWF, PDF, et al). This lead to the concept that CAD is not about drawings, but about data, which lead to CAD vendors thinking of themselves as data enablers. Hence, companies like Dassault and PTC no longer using the term “CAD,” but other convoluted phrases.”
We still say GIS, but we too are realizing it’s all about the data - and moving it to platform that does the job.
3 - “The CAD market is plateauing, and so CAD vendors are looking for more ways to sell more software in all four directions: earlier in the design process (conceptual and early marketing), afterwards (PLM), down to the shop floor (CAM, etc) and up into management (viewers).”
We see that too - Autodesk is one that’s working to put CAD and GIS throughout the lifecycle. ESRI and others are doing something similar but horizontal - the oil and gas comglomerate should be using GIS not only in managing claims, but in distribution as well.
Do we have “tradGIS” and if so what is the equivalent of 3D modelers?